THE NEW CHALLENGES OF TOURISM FACING CLIMATE CHANGE IN SINALOA, MEXICO.
Keywords:
scenarios, climate, change, tourism, healthAbstract
The environmental crisis that currently exists is largely due to an inadequate management of
natural resources, this represents one of the great challenges in an era of environmental change
on a global scale. In this article the theoretical-practical information on the study of climate
change and its relationship with Tourism; within the framework of economic activities, national
and international treaties and a new preponderant element such as health. The methodology tries
to design possible scenarios of change assuming the final objective of a game; in which key
elements such as: carbon, water, energy, health, cities and identity are considered. The scenarios
are then based mainly on these forces and it gives us four prospecting Growth, Restriction,
Collapse and Transformation.
To give certainty to our results, they are compared with that reported by the Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
The conclusion refers that the new way of doing tourism has to consider the growth of the
population, as well as risk situations in synergy with infectious or zoonotic diseases, the rise in
sea level (0.1 a .5 meters), emissions between 500 and 900 ppm and the increase in temperature
ranging from 1.5 to 2.0° C.